Legislation tracker
The dated legislative, regulatory and government milestones that decide whether South African minerals plants run. Compiled from our flagship report, Winning Back the Value. Evidence as at 9 October 2026.
Dated milestones
9 of 9 milestones
- End-Sep 2026
Electricity market code under the Electricity Regulation Amendment Act
Stage: Before NERSA; wholesale market go-live due end-Sep 2026, still to be confirmed
Next comment opportunity: Closed; watch for final approval
Type RegulationSet by RegulatorDate passed: status to be confirmed - 31 Mar 2027
Mining cadastre national rollout
Promised for 2025; now due 31 March 2027.
Protect
Type Register rolloutSet by GovernmentUpcoming - Apr 2027
NERSA direct-customer tariff rises to 8.83%
Rules
Type TariffSet by RegulatorUpcoming - Apr 2027
Ports Regulator fully operational
Protect
Type InstitutionSet by GovernmentUpcoming - May 2027
Steel safeguard duty reaches year three (9%)
Protect
Type Trade measureSet by GovernmentUpcoming - 31 Jul 2027
Scrap price preference expires
Rules
Type Price preferenceSet by GovernmentUpcoming - No date set
Chrome ore export controls: tax and quota
Stage: Draft published for comment Oct 2025, never gazetted; revived in the Industrial Development Strategy 2026, with no rate, quota or date
Next comment opportunity: When a revised notice is gazetted
Type Draft regulationSet by GovernmentDraft, not gazettedITAC notice under the International Trade Administration Act
- Once tabled
General (Mining) Laws Amendment Bill
Stage: Departmental comments closed 11 Sep 2026; Parliament next
Next comment opportunity: Parliamentary hearings once tabled
Type BillSet by GovernmentParliament next - Once tabled
Mineral Resources Development Bill (amends the MPRDA)
Stage: At Nedlac; draft gazetted 20 May 2025, comments closed 13 Aug 2025
Next comment opportunity: Parliamentary public participation once tabled
Type BillSet by GovernmentAt Nedlac
Lanes are the report’s own: Restore (bring idle plants back), Protect (secure what feeds them), Build (new capacity only where a customer is waiting) and Rules (the conditions behind all three). Dates are as stated in the report and may have moved since.
Decisions with no date yet
- Final terms of the 62c ferrochrome tariff, and any extension beyond Samancor and Glencore-MerafeCh. 12
- Any tariff for TransalloysCh. 13
- Whether Eskom extends a negotiated tariff to Ferroglobe’s silicon plantsCh. 17
- Eskom and Alcoa post-2031 power terms (MW and tariff)Ch. 16
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This tracker lists public events only, and is for information; it is not legal advice. See the research disclaimer and our method and evidence labels. Read the full calendar in the report